Energiedialog evb "Vernetzte Energie, vernetztes Leben - Eine Zeitreise in die Zukunft" - evb Beckum
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Energiedialog evb „Vernetzte Energie, vernetztes Leben – Eine Zeitreise in die Zukunft“ Harald Kemmann, Head of Insights & Ideation Beckum, 17. November 2016
vernetzt und/oder autark?
Vernetztes Leben: Wird so unser Zuhause smart?
Konkurrenz für Amazon
Echo: Apple baut
angeblich Siri-
Lautsprecher
Apple will angeblich Siri-
Lautsprecher bauen.
Apple scheint einen
Amazon-Echo- und
Google-Home-
Konkurrenten zu planen.
Quelle:
Amazon: https://www.amazon.de/Amazon-Echo-Dot-Generation-Schwarz/dp/B01DFKBG54/ref=sr_1_2?ie=UTF8&qid=1474906339&sr=8-2&keywords=echo
Google: http://www.areamobile.de/news/38224-google-assistant-googles-neuer-sprachassistent-soll-smart-home-aufmischen
Apple: http://www.golem.de/news/konkurrenz-fuer-amazon-echo-apple-baut-angeblich-siri-lautsprecher-1609-123440.html
Energiedialog evb, Beckum, 17. November 2016 3
© Copyright innogy SE / innogy Innovation Hub The information contained herein is not for publication or distribution in or into the United States of America, Canada, Japan or Australia.
Ein kleiner Annäherungsversuch zur Vernetzung
von Energie und Mensch …
Quelle: Eigene Vorentwicklung, 2015
Energiedialog evb, Beckum, 17. November 2016 4
© Copyright innogy SE / innogy Innovation Hub The information contained herein is not for publication or distribution in or into the United States of America, Canada, Japan or Australia.
Visionen für Zuhause … im Test mit Partnern.
Quelle: „Visions of Living“ - Unternehmensnetzwerk universal home, 2016
Energiedialog evb, Beckum, 17. November 2016 5
© Copyright innogy SE / innogy Innovation Hub The information contained herein is not for publication or distribution in or into the United States of America, Canada, Japan or Australia.
TIPPING POINTS – EINE ZEITREISE IN
DIE ZUKUNFT
Quelle: (2017-2018): SmartBook RWE Effizienz GmbH, Tipping Points in der Energiewirtschaft, November 2013; (2018-2027): WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM, Survey Report, September 2015
Energiedialog evb, Beckum, 17. November 2016
© Copyright innogy SE / innogy Innovation Hub The information contained herein is not for publication or distribution in or into the United States of America, Canada, Japan or Australia.
Tipping Points
2018: (Data)-Storage for all
Energiedialog evb, Beckum, 17. November 2016 7
© Copyright innogy SE / innogy Innovation Hub The information contained herein is not for publication or distribution in or into the United States of America, Canada, Japan or Australia.
STROM SELBER MACHEN?
Der Markt für Speicher wächst. Geht’s schneller?
Prognose für Deutschland.
250.000 Tipping Point
Marktgröße June 2018 200.000
200.000
Zuwachs
150.000
150.000
110.000
100.000
78.000
55.000
50.000
50.000 40.000
23.000 32.000
20.000
0
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Quelle: Zubau-Szenario BSW Solar, Bundesverband Solarwirtschaft eV, 22. Juni 2016
Energiedialog evb, Beckum, 17. November 2016 9
© Copyright innogy SE / innogy Innovation Hub The information contained herein is not for publication or distribution in or into the United States of America, Canada, Japan or Australia.
Prognose der Li-Ionen-Batteriepreisentwicklung 1),
Energiedichte und Zyklenstabilität
1) Systempreis Endkunde
Quelle: SmartBook RWE Effizienz 2013 - FOI
Energiedialog evb, Beckum, 17. November 2016 10
© Copyright innogy SE / innogy Innovation Hub The information contained herein is not for publication or distribution in or into the United States of America, Canada, Japan or Australia.Preisverfall aus Endkundensicht?
1 Zelle:
2,75 Ah, 3,7 V =
10,175 Wh
1 kWh:
98,28 Zellen
5,53kg
200 EUR
(Endkundenpreis,
unverhandelt)
Quelle: http://www.idealo.de/preisvergleich
Energiedialog evb, Beckum, 17. November 2016 11
© Copyright innogy SE / innogy Innovation Hub The information contained herein is not for publication or distribution in or into the United States of America, Canada, Japan or Australia.Heimspeicher: Ein Gedankenexperiment
3,9kWh = 8.399,-- € 1) 0,25kWh = 14,99 € 2)
1) Source: RWE Storage Flex 2) Source: ebay, (Supplier from Shenzhen, China)
http://www.energiewelt.de/web/cms/mediablob/de/2885188/data/2391704/6/energieberatung 50000mAh USB Power Bank
/solarenergie-photovoltaik/rwe-homepower-storage/batteriespeicher-von-rwe/RWE-Storage- http://www.ebay.de/itm/50000mAh-Externer-USB-Ladegeraet-Smartphone-Power-Bank-
12
flex-Produktbroschuere.pdf Zusatzakku-Batterie-Akku-/152164494280?_trksid=p2141725.m3641.l6368
© Copyright innogy SE / innogy Innovation Hub The information contained herein is not for publication or distribution in or into the United States of America, Canada, Japan or Australia.Heimspeicher 100kWh: Ein Gedankenexperiment
26,6 Geräte * 3,9kWh = 100 kWh ≈ 215.359,-- € 1)
1) Source: RWE Storage Flex
http://www.energiewelt.de/web/cms/mediablob/de/2885188/data/2391704/6/energieberatung
13
/solarenergie-photovoltaik/rwe-homepower-storage/batteriespeicher-von-rwe/RWE-Storage-
flex-Produktbroschuere.pdfHeimspeicher 100kWh: Ein Gedankenexperiment
26,6 Geräte * 3,9kWh = 100 kWh ≈ 215.359,-- € 1) 400 Geräte * 0,25kWh = 100 kWh ≈ 5.996,-- € 2)
1) Source: RWE Storage Flex 2) Source: ebay, (Supplier from Shenzhen, China)
http://www.energiewelt.de/web/cms/mediablob/de/2885188/data/2391704/6/energieberatung http://www.ebay.de/itm/50000mAh-Externer-USB-Ladegeraet-Smartphone-Power-Bank-
14
/solarenergie-photovoltaik/rwe-homepower-storage/batteriespeicher-von-rwe/RWE-Storage- Zusatzakku-Batterie-Akku-/152164494280?_trksid=p2141725.m3641.l6368
flex-Produktbroschuere.pdfB2C PV: Selbsterzeugter Strom derzeit bei 8,75 ct/kWh Source: http://www.photovoltaik-angebotsvergleich.de/photovoltaik-kosten Source: http://www.photovoltaiksolarstrom.de/photovoltaik-rechner-online Energiedialog evb, Beckum, 17. November 2016 15
B2C Heimspeicher: Gespeicherter Strom 6,74 ct / kWh
Speicherkosten – ausgewählte Beispiele
gross
max depth max capacity for Storage @ home
of discharge charging usable price in
(DOD) cycles 10 kWh B2C price ct / kWh
The next offer will come soon …
TESLA Power Wall 2 80% 6600 12,5 kWh 4.445 € 6,74
Blei-Carbon Winner TITAN 80% 4000 12,5 kWh 4.800 € 12
LiFePo4 PYLONTECH 80% 6600 12,5 kWh 8.000 € 15
OPzV Panzerplatten (GEL) 50% 2500 20 kWh 4.800 € 18
OPzS Panzerplatten 50% 2500 20 kWh 4.400 € 17
Mercedes Benz (Accumotive) 80% 6600 12,5 kWh 12.499 € 18,9
Lithium Ionen (NMC) 80% 6600 12,5 kWh 13.200 € 20
AGM Zyklenfest 50% 1000 20 kWh 2.800 € 28
GEL Zyklenfest 50% 1400 20 kWh 4.000 € 28
Typ. Lead-acid 50% 800 20 kWh 2.400 € 30
Source: https://greenakku.de/Batterien und https://www.tesla.com/de_DE/powerwall und https://www.mercedes-benz.com/de/mercedes-benz-energy/
Energiedialog evb, Beckum, 17. November 2016 16
© Copyright innogy SE / innogy Innovation Hub The information contained herein is not for publication or distribution in or into the United States of America, Canada, Japan or Australia.Zusammenfassung:
average
electricity electricity
PV @ home demotion production production in PV @ home price
after 20 per year and 20 years per B2C price per in
years kWp 10 kWp 10 kWp ct / kWh
Weitere Angebote folgen … ?
PV
(B2C Markt-Angebot) 80% 790 157800 kWh 13.800 € 8,75
gross
Storage @ home max depth of capacity for Storage @ home
discharge max charging usable B2C price price in
(DOD) cycles 10 kWh per 10 kWh ct / kWh
Weitere Angebote folgen … ?
Heimspeicher
(B2C Markt-Angebot) 80% 6600 12,5 kWh 4.445 € 6,74
Energiedialog evb, Beckum, 17. November 2016 17
© Copyright innogy SE / innogy Innovation Hub The information contained herein is not for publication or distribution in or into the United States of America, Canada, Japan or Australia.Strom selber machen?
möglicher Strompreis (B2C) (ct/kWh) selbsterzeugter Strom (ct/kWh)
0,60 24,32
1,59
2,05
3,88
6,22 8,75 0,00 15,49
3,54
6,74
6,44
Grid Sales EEG VAT Electricity Con- Other Total Storage Own No other Total
levy margin levy tax cession fees price @ home production fees price
fee (PV)
Energiedialog evb, Beckum, 17. November 2016
© Copyright innogy SE / innogy Innovation Hub The information contained herein is not for publication or distribution in or into the United States of America, Canada, Japan or Australia.EIN BLICK IN DEN WELTWEIT AM SCHNELLSTEN WACHSENDEN OFF-GRID SOLAR-MARKT
EIN BLICK IN DIE ZUKUNFT
EIN BLICK IN DIE ZUKUNFT
Off-grid solar in Africa is in a healthy position
TOP 5 of 40 players:
1. Mobisol (> 5MW installed in Tanzania and Rwanda, using drones to deliver parts)
2. M-Kopa (> 330.000 customers in Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda)
3. Off-Grid Electric (no.1 in Tanzania; 45 Million $ dept refinancing (first-of-its-kind))
4. Azuri Technologies (HomeSmart technology ‘learns’ the customer’s usage patterns)
5. Nova Lumos (no. 1 in Nigeria; 80W system size “best in class”)
“It could cost between $600 and $800 for someone to connect to the national grid.”
(Erica Mackey, COO OGE)
Quelle: innogy Innovation Hub, Eigene Recherche, August 2016
Energiedialog evb, Beckum, 17. November 2016
© Copyright innogy SE / innogy Innovation Hub The information contained herein is not for publication or distribution in or into the United States of America, Canada, Japan or Australia.Off-grid solar in Africa: Big Data is alive
Quelle: innogy Innovation Hub, Eigene Recherche, August 2016
Energiedialog evb, Beckum, 17. November 2016
© Copyright innogy SE / innogy Innovation Hub The information contained herein is not for publication or distribution in or into the United States of America, Canada, Japan or Australia.EIN BLICK IN DIE ZUKUNFT
UnConference 22. August 2016
Die erste Zn-Air Batterie im Einsatz
Wir denken und
handeln schnell. Mit
radikalen Innovationen
wollen wir den
Spitzenplatz in einem
dynamischen
Marktumfeld
einnehmen.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AMfIR1Q0EZc&feature=youtu.be
Energiedialog evb, Beckum, 17. November 2016 25DANK & DISKUSSION.
Kontakt
Harald Kemmann
Head of Insights & Ideation
T +49 162 2518052
harald.kemmann@innogy.com
Energiedialog evb, Beckum, 17. November 2016 27
© Copyright innogy SE / innogy Innovation Hub The information contained herein is not for publication or distribution in or into the United States of America, Canada, Japan or Australia.Important notice This document contains forward-looking statements. These statements are based on the current views, expectations, assumptions and information of the management, and are based on information currently available to the management. Forward-looking statements shall not be construed as a promise for the materialisation of future results and developments and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those described in such statements due to, among other things, changes in the general economic and competitive environment, risks associated with capital markets, currency exchange rate fluctuations, changes in international and national laws and regulations, in particular with respect to tax laws and regulations, affecting the Company, and other factors. Neither the Company nor any of its affiliates assume(s) any obligations to update any forward- looking statements. innogy SE · innogy Innovation Hub · October 2016 28
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