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Sektion Epidemiologie und Biostatistik 1 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Institut für Public Health Institute of Public Health Sektion Epidemiologie und Biostatistik Unit of Epidemiology and Biostatistics Bericht ● Report 2009-2013
2 Bericht 2009-2013 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Inhaltsverzeichnis ● Table of Contents Einleitung ● Introduction ......................................................................................................... 4 1. Forschung ● Research............................................................................................. 7 1.1. Gemeinsame Projekte mit dem CRSN, Nouna, Burkina Faso und dem INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana ● Joint Projects with the CRSN, Nouna HDSS, Burkina Faso and the INDEPTH network, Accra, Ghana.................................................................................................................... 7 1.2. Weitere infektionsepidemiologische Studien ● Further studies in infectious disease epidemiology ...................................................... 15 1.3. Krebsepidemiologie ● Cancer epidemiology .............................................................................................. 18 1.4. Sozialepidemiologie und Migrantenforschung ● Social epidemiology and migrant research ................................................................. 21 1.5. Die Nationale Kohorte (NaKo) ● The German National Cohort (NaKo) ........................................................................ 25 1.6. Biostatistische und epidemiologische Methoden ● Biostatistical and epidemiological methods ................................................................ 26 1.7. Epidemiologie des Schlaganfalls ● Stroke Epidemiology .............................................................................................. 28 1.8. Gesundheit von Müttern und Kindern ● Maternal and child health ........................................................................................ 30 1.9. Sonstige Projekte ● Other projects ....................................................................................................... 35 2. Lehre ● Teaching .................................................................................................. 37 2.1. HeiCuMed ............................................................................................................. 37 2.2. Wahlfach „Global Health“ ....................................................................................... 40 2.3. Graduiertenkolleg 793 ● PhD program 793 .............................................................. 40 2.4. MSc International Health ........................................................................................ 42 2.5. Weitere Vorlesungen ● Other Lectures ...................................................................... 43 3. Weitere Aktivitäten ● Further activities ................................................................ 46 3.1. Tätigkeiten in Gremien, als Editor oder Reviewer ● Council memberships, reviewing and editorial tasks .................................................... 46 3.2. Organisation von Tagungen und Workshops ● Organisation of meetings and workshops .................................................................. 48 4. Mitarbeiter, Kooperationspartner, Drittmittel ● Staff, Collaborators, Funding ................................................................................ 54 4.1. Mitarbeiter ● Staff ................................................................................................. 54 4.2. Frühere Mitarbeiter ● Previous staff members ............................................................ 59 4.3. Drittmittel ● Grants................................................................................................ 60 5. Publikationen, Hochschulschriften ● Publications and Theses .............................. 63 5.1. Publikationen 2009-2013 ● Publications 2009-2013 .................................................... 63 5.2. Hochschulschriften ● Academic theses ...................................................................... 70
Sektion Epidemiologie und Biostatistik 3 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Vorwort ● Preface Das Fach Epidemiologie ist an der Medizi- Epidemiology is nischen Fakultät der Universität Heidelberg represented at the innerhalb des Instituts für Public Health Medical Faculty of repräsentiert. Dieser Bericht beschreibt die Heidelberg Aktivitäten der Sektion Epidemiologie und University as a unit Biostatistik in den Jahren 2009 bis 2013. within the Institute of Public Health. In Die Sektion hat im Berichtszeitraum eine Reihe this report the von Veränderungen erfahren. Insgesamt ist die activities of the unit Sektion stark gewachsen – bei gleichbleibender “Epidemiology and institutioneller Förderung. Das Drittmitte- Biostatistics” in the laufkommen hat sich deutlich gesteigert, und years 2009 until dazu haben eine Reihe von Mitarbeitern 2013 are described. beigetragen. The unit experienced a number of major Zwei Mitarbeiter - Herr Dr. Heribert Ramroth changes within the reporting period. Overall, und Frau Dr. Sabine Gabrysch - haben sich the unit has strongly increased in size – with habilitiert bzw. ihre Habilitationsschrift constant institutional support. This was only eingereicht, für einen weiteren, Herr Dr. Volker possible through increased external funding, to Winkler, ist der Weg dahin nicht mehr weit. which several members of the unit have Alle haben selbständig Drittmittelprojekte contributed. eingeworben, wobei die Nachwuchsgruppe von Frau Gabrysch im Rahmen des Two members of the unit completed their Förderprogramms Epidemiologie des BMBF “habilitation” resp. submitted the thesis, Dr. besonders hervorzuheben ist. Heribert Ramroth and Dr. Sabine Gabrysch, and another member, Dr. Volker Winkler, will Aus Anlass der Erstellung dieses Berichts follow soon. All of them have independently möchte ich mich herzlich bei allen acquired research funding. The junior group of Kooperationspartnern für die angenehme Dr. Gabrysch under the funding scheme of the Zusammenarbeit bedanken. Besonders BMBF is of particular relevance. hervorheben möchte ich die Kollegen am „Centre de Recherche en Santé de Nouna“ I would like to thank all colleagues for the (CRSN) in Nouna, Burkina Faso. smooth collaboration over the last years. In particular to be named are the colleagues at Mein Dank gilt auch allen Mitarbeiterinnen und the Centre de Recherche en Santé de Nouna“ Mitarbeitern des Instituts für Public Health, und (CRSN) in Nouna, Burkina Faso. My special ganz besonders allen Mitgliedern meiner thanks goes to all members of the Institute of Sektion für die vertrauensvolle und Public Health, in particular all members of the konstruktive Unterstützung. unit, for trustful and constructive support. Heidelberg, im November 2013 Prof. Dr. Heiko Becher Leiter der Sektion und stv. Direktor Head of Unit and Deputy Director
4 Bericht 2009-2013 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Einleitung ● Introduction Epidemiologie hat in Deutschland eine Epidemiology has a relatively short tradition in vergleichsweise kurze Geschichte. In den Germany. A few such research departments achtziger Jahren des letzten Jahrhunderts existed in the eighties of the last century. This existierten nur wenige Lehrstühle in diesem however has clearly changed. By now, there Fach. Mittlerweile gibt es an vielen are institutes or departments of epidemiology Universitäten Deutschlands eigenständige in many universities in Germany. In Heidelberg Institute für Epidemiologie. In Heidelberg the growth of the field began in 1986 with the begann der Aufschwung der Epidemiologie im appointment of a new professor in Deutschen Krebsforschungszentrum mit der epidemiology to head a new Department of Neubesetzung der Abteilungsleitung im Jahr Epidemiology (formerly medical documentation 1986 und Umbenennung der ehemaligen and statistics) at the German Cancer Research Abteilung medizinische Dokumentation und Center (DKFZ). The establishment of further Statistik in die Abteilung Epidemiologie. departments of epidemiology were installed at Weitere Gründungen epidemiologischer the DKFZ and at the German Center for Abteilungen im DKFZ und im Deutschen Research on Ageing – now merged with the Zentrum für Alternsforschung – mittlerweile in DKFZ- which led to a significant development das DKFZ integriert - brachten einen weiteren of the field in Heidelberg. Aufschwung des Faches in Heidelberg mit sich. At the medical faculty of the University of An der Universität Heidelberg wurde eine Heidelberg there was still no department of entsprechende Abteilung nicht eingerichtet, Epidemiology. There were nevertheless some und es fanden nur einige epidemiologische epidemiological activities which took place Aktivitäten innerhalb verschiedener klinischer within different clinical departments or other Abteilungen oder in Instituten statt. Eng institutes. Closely linked to Epidemiology is the verbunden mit der Epidemiologie ist die field of Biostatistics. This subject is well Biostatistik. Die Biostatistik ist in Heidelberg represented at Heidelberg University by the seit langer Zeit mit der Abteilung „medizinische reputable Department of Medical Biometry, Biometrie“ sehr gut vertreten, allerdings mit however, it has its focus on clinical trials and deutlichem Schwerpunkt auf Klinischen Studien not on methods in epidemiology. und weniger auf biostatistischer Methoden- In 1998 a new position for a professor of forschung in der Epidemiologie. Epidemiology and Biostatistics was created at Im Jahr 1998 wurde an der medizinischen the Medical Faculty of the University of Fakultät der Universität Heidelberg eine C3- Heidelberg, assigned to the Department of Professur für Epidemiologie und Biostatistik Tropical Hygiene and Public Health at the eingerichtet, die am damals existierenden Institute of Hygiene with the additional Hygiene-Institut in der Abteilung responsibility of being deputy head of this Tropenhygiene und öffentliches Gesundheits- relatively large department with about 60 wesen angesiedelt wurde. Die Besetzung dieser members. A working group Epidemiology and Professur war verbunden mit der Biostatistics was established which became an stellvertretenden Abteilungsleitung dieser official unit (section) under the statutes of the relativ großen Abteilung mit ca. 60 faculty in 2003. Mitarbeitern. Der damit verbundenen Milestones in the development of the unit were informellen Gründung einer „Unit of two projects within the collaborative research Epidemiology und Biostatistics“ folgte im Jahr grant SFB 544 “Control of Tropical Infectious 2003 die formale Schaffung der Sektion Diseases” which ended in 2011, and the PhD Epidemiologie und Biostatistik. Program (Graduiertenkolleg 793) for Meilensteine in der Entstehung und epidemiology “Epidemiology of communicable Entwicklung der Sektion waren die and chronic, non-communicable diseases and Projektleitung von zwei Teilprojekten des SFB their interrelationships”, which was funded 544 „Kontrolle tropischer Infektions- from 2002 to 2012, and of which the head of krankheiten“, der mittlerweile beendet ist, und this unit was the speaker. die Gründung und Förderung durch die DFG There are a number of different areas of des Graduiertenkollegs 793 „Epidemiologie research in the unit. These include studies in übertragbarer und chronischer, nicht infectious disease epidemiology, with focus on übertragbarer Erkrankungen und deren malaria, studies of chronic diseases – among Wechselbeziehungen“, welches eine Laufzeit these studies in cancer epidemiology and von 2002-2012 hatte, und dessen Sprecher der stroke epidemiology – studies in social Sektionsleiter war. epidemiology with focus on migrants from the
Sektion Epidemiologie und Biostatistik 5 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Die Forschungsthemen innerhalb der Sektion former Soviet Union, so-called “Aussiedler”, sind vielfältig. Sie beinhalten infektions- descriptive studies with focus on data quality epidemiologische Studien im Bereich Malaria, for health statistics in Africa, biostatistical Studien zur Epidemiologie chronischer research projects and others. An important Krankheiten – darunter Krebs, Schlaganfall -, area is also the methodological support of sozialepidemiologische Studien zu Migranten, studies performed by other members of the Studien im Bereich der deskriptiven department or of the SFB. This large variety of Epidemiologie und Gesundheitsbericht- topics is easily explained. Epidemiological erstattung in Afrika, biostatistische Forschungs studies are usually long-term studies, and projekte und andere. Diese Vielfalt hat often new projects directly develop from these. verschiedene Gründen. Epidemiologische For example, the case-control study on Studien sind in der Regel Langzeitprojekte, bei laryngeal cancer which started in collaboration denen sich sinnvolle Folgeprojekte aus der with the Department of Otolaryngology at Thematik heraus ergeben. Beispielsweise ist Heidelberg University Clinics in 1996, is an die Fall-Kontroll-Studie zum Larynxkarzinom, ongoing project up to the present day, in which die bereits 1996 zusammen mit der HNO- results are still produced and corresponding Universitätsklinik in Heidelberg begonnen publications have been emerged and more are wurde, bis zum heutigen Tag ein aktuelles expected in the future. The head of the unit Projekt, bei dem zahlreiche Erkenntnisse und who moved from the German Cancer Research entsprechende Publikationen entstanden sind Center (DKFZ) to the Department of Tropical und noch entstehen werden. Der Wechsel des Hygiene and Public Health brought with him Sektionsleiters von dem Deutschen the new fields of research which are a focus Krebsforschungszentrum an das Institut für today and will remain a focus in the future. Public Health, brachte die oben genannten A new large project which already attracted neuen Themenfelder mit sich, die heute einen much public attention is the so-called “German breiten Raum einnehmen und auch in der National Cohort (NaKo)”. The head of this unit Zukunft einnehmen werden. is the representative of the University of Einen breiten Raum nimmt seit dem Jahr 2010 Heidelberg in the union (German: Verein) die sogenannte „Nationale Kohorte (NaKo)“ which has been founded for administrating this ein, bei der der Leiter der Sektion der Vertreter study. For this project, which is the largest des dazu gegründeten Vereins für die epidemiological study ever performed in Universität Heidelberg ist. Unter seiner Leitung Germany, the joint responsibility for the fanden eine Reihe von Machbarkeitsstudien recruitment center Mannheim lies with our unit statt, die zur Vorbereitung der Erhebung der together with the department of Cancer Kohorte durchgeführt wurden. Für dieses Epidemiology at the DKFZ. bisher größte epidemiologische Projekt in In 2012 a call for new epidemiology units and Deutschland liegt die gemeinsame junior working groups was issued by the Verantwortung für das Rekrutierungszentrum German Ministry of Education and Research. Mannheim bei unserer Sektion gemeinsam mit Our unit was successful in an application to der Abteilung Krebsepidemiologie am DKFZ. install a new independent working group within Eine Ausschreibung des BMBF zur Stärkung der the unit. The group is headed by Dr. Sabine Epidemiologie in Deutschland erfolgte im Jahr Gabrysch. The funding period is for initially six 2012. Der Antrag auf eine weitere years. eigenständige Arbeitsgruppe war erfolgreich. Teaching also plays a major role in the unit. Sie wird geleitet von Frau Dr. Sabine Gabrysch The epidemiological part of the und beinhaltet eine Projektförderung für die “Querschnittsbereich” Epidemiology, Medical nächsten sechs Jahre. Biometry and Medical Informatics which is Im Bereich der Lehre ist die Sektion vielfältig compulsory according to the new tätig. Die Organisation der Epidemiologie im “Approbationsordnung” for medical students is Querschnittsbereich Epidemiologie, medizi- organized by the unit head. A number of nische Biometrie und medizinische Informatik, members of the unit as well as colleagues from ein Pflichtbereich nach der neuen the DKFZ are involved in teaching. The Approbationsordnung, obliegt dem epidemiological modules of the master course Sektionsleiter. Eine Reihe von Mitarbeitern der “International Health” and other courses within Sektion, sowie Kollegen aus dem DKFZ, sind the department are covered by the unit. The hier an der Lehre beteiligt. Die teaching program for the former PhD program epidemiologischen Teile der Masterprogramme has also been organized by our unit. This is und anderer Kurse an der Abteilung werden further outlined in the report, as well as further von der Sektion bestritten. Das Lehrprogramm scientific activities within and outside the für das Graduiertenkolleg wurde ebenfalls medical Faculty of the University of Heidelberg. organisiert. Dies ist in dem Bericht weiter
6 Bericht 2009-2013 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ aufgeführt, sowie auch weitere In terms of publications and grant acquisition wissenschaftliche Aktivitäten innerhalb und our unit was quite successful over the last five außerhalb der Fakultät. years. The number of peer-reviewed publications exceeded 100, many of these in Die Sektion war in den letzten Jahren in Bezug the highest ranked journals of our field. The auf Publikationen und Drittmitteleinwerbungen corresponding list of publications as well as a recht erfolgreich, so wurden in dem list of projects funded with soft money are Berichtszeitraum insgesamt über 100 given at the end of this report. Zeitschriftenbeiträge veröffentlicht, viele davon in den besten Zeitschriften unseres Faches. Most parts of this report are given in German Das Verzeichnis der Veröffentlichungen und and English, indicated by the print color. The eine entsprechende Aufstellung der description of scientific projects, however, is geförderten Drittmittelprojekte findet man am given in English only. Ende dieses Berichts. Der Bericht ist größtenteils in Deutsch und Englisch verfasst. Aus Platzgründen sind die Beschreibungen der wissenschaftlichen Projekte nur auf Englisch enthalten. Abb. 1: Campus „Im Neuenheimer Feld“ mit Institut für Public Health im Gebäude 324 Fig. 1: New University Campus „Im Neuenheimer Feld“ with Institute of Public Health in building 324
Sektion Epidemiologie und Biostatistik 7 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ 1. Forschung ● Research In diesem Kapitel werden die wesentlichen In this chapter the main ongoing research Forschungsprojekte des Berichtszeitraums kurz activities of the reporting period are briefly beschrieben, wobei ebenfalls ein Ausblick auf described. This includes completed and laufende und geplante Projekte eingeschlossen ongoing projects as well as projects in ist. Für jedes Projekt bzw. jeden preparation. For each project or topic the Themenbereich sind die beteiligten Mitarbeiter names of the internal working group and of the und externen Kooperationspartner genannt. external collaborators are given. The project Der bzw. die Projektleiter ist bzw. sind leader(s) is (are) underlined (if applicable). unterstrichen (falls zutreffend). Publications are listed for each project with the Publikationen aus den jeweiligen Projekten sind number that refers to the publication list at the mit der Nummer angegeben, die sich auf die end of the report. Publikationsliste am Ende des Berichts bezieht. 1.1. Gemeinsame Projekte mit dem CRSN, Nouna, Burkina Faso und dem INDEPTH Network, Accra, Ghana ● Joint Projects with the CRSN, Nouna HDSS, Burkina Faso and the INDEPTH network, Accra, Ghana Mit Anfang des SFB 544, der mittlerweile With the special research grant SFB 544, which ausgelaufen ist, begann eine enge Kooperation has now ended, we started a close mit dem „Centre de Recherche en Santé de collaboration with the „Centre de Recherche en Nouna“ (CRSN) in Nouna, Burkina Faso, auf Santé de Nouna“ (CRSN) in Nouna, Burkina dem Gebiet der Epidemiologie, die auch über Faso. This collaboration with joint den SFB hinaus in zahlreichen Projekten epidemiological projects continued after the fortgesetzt wird. SFB has ended. Basis der in diesem Kapitel beschriebenen Basis of all studies described in this chapter is Studien ist jeweils ein so genanntes „Health a so-called „Health and Demographic and Demographic Surveillance System Surveillance System (HDSS)“, which exists in (HDSS)“, welches in Nouna seit 1993 existiert, Nouna since 1993, and in which a population of und in dem eine Population von gegenwärtig currently more than 80000 persons is under über 80000 Personen unter konstanter constant demographic surveillance. This HDSS demografischer Surveillance ist. Dieses HDSS and major projects which emerged from this ist mit den sich daraus ergebenden Projekten database are described in a review article (Sie in einem Übersichtsartikel (Sie et al., 2010) at el., 2010) [26]. [26] beschrieben. Publication: [26] Abb. 2: Dorf im Distrikt Kossi, Burkina Faso Fig. 2: Village in district Kossi, Burkina Faso
8 Bericht 2009-2013 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Risikofaktoren, zeitliche und räumliche Muster der Sterblichkeit in Burkina Faso Risk factors, temporal and spatial patterns of mortality in Burkina Faso Project team: Heiko Becher, Anja Schoeps, Gisela Kynast-Wolf, Sabine Gabrysch, Heribert Ramroth, Gabriele Stieglbauer, Robert Ndugwa Collaborators within the Institute: Olaf Müller, Valerie Louis, Manuele De Allegri, External collaborators: Louis Niamba, Ali Sié, Bocar Kouyaté, Corneille Traoré, Maurice Yé, Nouna, Burkina Faso Funding: DFG (SFB 544) and GRK 793 closest health facility was obtained for both the The database of the HDSS in Nouna, Burkina dry and the rainy season, and its effect on Faso and the collaboration with the scientists infant (
Sektion Epidemiologie und Biostatistik 9 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ significantly related to mortality in old ages. wave’ effect appears to be observable also in Cardiovascular mortality varies by season, with areas with hot average temperatures. higher mortality rates in the hot dry season. The pattern seems to be consistent with other studies suggesting association between hot weather and cardiovascular disease. A ‘heat- Publications: [8], [19], [42] Räumliche Muster der Kindersterblichkeit Spatial Clustering of childhood mortality Project team: Heiko Becher, Gisela Kynast-Wolf, Robert Ndugwa, Heribert Ramroth, Gabriele Stieglbauer Collaborators within the institute: Olaf Müller External collaborators: Osman A. Sankoh, INDEPTH Network, Ghana and HDSS sites in twelve countries in Africa and Asia Funding: DFG (SFB 544), INDEPTH In an earlier analysis of the data from the DSS in Nouna, Burkina Faso, an extremely high childhood mortality was found in a particular village. Spatial scan statistics was the method used for the analysis. In an ongoing analysis, we investigate whether this clustering persists after a new well has been built to improve water supply in the village. Preliminary results show that the childhood mortality has slightly decreased in the Abb. 3: Länder mit HDSS verbunden mit dem INDEPTH Netzwerk years 2000 to 2003, Fig. 3: Countries with HDSS linked with the INDEPTH network however, the mortality is still significantly higher than in the been published in a special issue of the journal neighboring villages. This result gave rise to “Global Health Action” together with an similar analyses in other HDSS sites which are editorial from H. Becher. linked together within the INDEPTH Network. We organized a workshop in Accra, Ghana to investigate such patterns. The results have Publication: [16]
10 Bericht 2009-2013 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Ermittlung der Todesursache mit Daten der “Verbalen Autopsie”: das probabilistische InterVA Ascertaining the Cause of Death using Verbal Autopsy Data: The probabilistic InterVA. Project team: Heribert Ramroth, Johanna Rankin, Eva Lorenz, Mark Ssennono, Heiko Becher External collaborators: Ali Sié, CRSN Nouna, Burkina Faso, Peter Byass, Umea Universitet, Sweden and others Funding: DFG (SFB 544), Project D1 Funding period: 2008-2012 In many developing countries most deaths Difficulties in determining malaria as cause of occur outside hospitals. Therefore verbal death in holoendemic malaria regions might autopsy (VA), involving following up deaths result in higher discrepancies than those in with those present at the time, has been non-endemic areas. As neither Physician Coded shown to be a useful and often the only Verbal Autopsy nor Interpreting Verbal Autopsy possible method for deriving cause of death results represent a gold standard, uncertainty statistics in such settings. The most common levels with either procedure are high. method for determining the probable cause of A subsequent project covered special aspects death (COD) from the VA interview is Physician of the verbal autopsy (VA) questionnaires. The Coded Verbal Autopsy (PCVA), an independent question is: How informative is so called “free review of questionnaire data by physician(s) text” in the VA questionnaires? The free text trained in VA coding. part serves to describe the background An alternative method, the Interpret Verbal situation of the time before death like general Autopsy (InterVA) model, is based on a health of the deceased, health seeking Bayesian approach which derives posterior behavior and other information found probabilities for causes of death given an a important to report by the relatives of the priori distribution at population level and a set deceased. Additionally, this part is not in of interview-based indicators. The InterVA general coded by the fieldworker doing the model has begun to be used in developing interview in the standardized section of the countries, most notably in the INDEPTH interview. The aim of this project was to network. determine the impact of free text information seeking the final cause of death. We found that The aim of the project was to compare the there were changes of between 5.5-10.2% COD distribution using the PCVA approach between models before and after free-text versus the InterVA model, based on incorporation. No impact on malaria CSMFs information from a French VA questionnaire in was seen in the representative sub-sample, rural north-western Burkina Faso. We found but the proportion of malaria as cause of death that at the population level, 62.5% of causes increased in the physician sub-sample (2.7%) of death using the Interpreting Verbal Autopsy and saw a large decrease in the InterVA model corresponded with those determined by subsample (9.9%). Information on 13/106 two or three physicians. Although seven of the indicators appeared at least once in the free- 10 main causes of death were present in both texts that had not been matched to any item in approaches, the comparison of percentages of the structured, electronically available portion single causes of death shows discrepancies, of the Nouna questionnaire. We concluded that dominated by higher malaria rates found in the free-texts are helpful in gathering information Physician Coded Verbal Autopsy approach. not adequately captured in VA questionnaires, Our results confirm that national mortality though access to free-text does not explain statistics, which are partly based on verbal differences in physician and model autopsies, must be carefully interpreted. determination of malaria as cause of death. Publications: [65, 66]
Sektion Epidemiologie und Biostatistik 11 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Mangelernährung bei Kindern Childhood malnutrition Unit member in project team: Sabine Gabrysch Project team at Institute of Public Health: Olaf Müller, Claudia Beiersmann, Valerie Louis, Albrecht Jahn External collaborators: Maurice Yé, Nouna, Burkina Faso Funding: DFG (GRK 793) For measurement of progress towards the (42.6%) and lowest in December 2009 Millennium Development Goal (MDG) 1, (34.1%). After adjustment for age, sex and reliable data on nutrition indicators of specific village, there was a slight but not always countries are essential. Malnutrition is also the significant improvement in the z-scores of main determinant for childhood mortality, weight-for-age, weight-for-length, length-for- which is addressed in MDG 4. In the Nouna age, and mid-arm circumference over time. HDSS, nutritional parameters were compared The findings from this study confirm the still in two cohorts of young children of the same unacceptable high prevalence of malnutrition in age range from eight villages. Surveys took young children of rural sub-Saharan Africa place in June and December of the year 1999 (SSA). We concluded that progress in the and 2009. A multivariate model was used to reduction of malnutrition remains slow on this control for confounding variables. Prevalence continent making it rather unlikely that the of underweight was highest in December 1999 corresponding MDGs will be achieved. Publication: [48] Effekt von imprägnierten Bettnetzen im Säuglingsalter Effects of insecticide-treated bednets during early infancy Unit members in project team: Heiko Becher, Heribert Ramroth, Gabriele Stieglbauer Project team at Institute of Public Health: Olaf Müller External Collaborators: Corneille Traoré, Bocar Kouyaté, Yazoumé Yé, Claudia Frey, Boubacar Coulibaly Funding: DFG, SFB 544 This study was performed under the representative subsample of the study supervision of Prof. Dr. Olaf Müller and population. analyzed in this unit. Insecticide-impregnated After a mean follow-up of 27 months, there bednets and curtains have been shown by were 129 deaths in group A and 128 deaths in many studies to be effective against malaria. group B rate ratio (RR) 1.0 (95% confidence However, because of possible interactions with interval (CI): 0.78-1.27)). Falciparum malaria immunity development, treated bednets may incidence was lower in group A than in group cause no effect at all or even an increase in B, during early (0-5 months) and late infancy malaria morbidity and mortality in areas of (6-12 months) (RR 3.1, 95% CI: 2.0-4.9; RR high transmission. To clarify this issue, we did 1.3, 95% CI: 1.1-1.6) and rates of moderate a randomized controlled trial to assess the to severe anaemia were significantly lower long-term effects of bednet protection during during late infancy (11.5% vs 23.3%, P = early infancy. 0.008), but there were no differences between Between 2000 and 2002 a total of 3387 groups in these parameters in children older neonates from 41 villages in rural Burkina Faso than 12 months. The findings from this study were individually randomized to receive either provide additional evidence for the efficacy of bednet protection from birth (group A) or from insecticide-treated nets in young children living age 6 months (group B). Primary outcomes in areas of intense malaria transmission. were all-cause mortality in all study children In the reporting period, a further analysis with and incidence of falciparum malaria in a a long-term follow-up has been performed. After a median follow-up time of 8.3 years,
12 Bericht 2009-2013 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ 443/3387 (13.1%) children had migrated out We conclude that insecticide-treated mosquito of the area and 484/2944 (16.4%) had died, net protection in early infancy is not a risk mostly at home. Long-term compliance with factor for mortality. Individual ITN protection ITN protection was good. There were no does not sufficiently reduce malaria prevalence differences in mortality between study groups in high-transmission areas. Achieving universal (248 deaths in group A, 236 deaths in group ITN coverage remains a major challenge for B; rate ratio 1.05, 95% CI: 0.889-1.237, P = malaria prevention in Africa. 0.574). The survey conducted briefly after the rainy season in 2009 showed that more than 80% of study children carried asexual malaria parasites and up to 20% had clinical malaria. Publication: [60] Optimising the impact and cost-effectiveness of child health intervention (OPTIMUNIZE) Unit members in Project team: Heiko Becher, Anja Schoeps Project team members within the institute: Olaf Müller, Nobila Ouédraogo External Collaborators: Peter Aaby, Christine Benn, Ane Fisker, Statens Serum Institut Denmark; Instituto Nacional de Salude Publica, Guinea-Bissau; Ali Sié et al., Centre de Recherche en Santé de Nouna, Burkina Faso; Ghana Health Service, Ghana; INDEPTH Network, Ghana and others Funding: EU Recent studies have consistently shown that information from existing vaccination cards vaccines and micronutrients have non-specific ranged from 80% (measles) to 94% (OPV1). effects, i.e. effects which are not explained by When taking into consideration all information prevention of the targeted infections or available (including BCG scars in children with deficiencies. These effects are often sex- and without vaccination card), full coverage in differential. Furthermore, interventions may children aged 12–23 months was around 75%, interact. Hence, the overall impact of child with a significantly higher coverage in rural health programs cannot be extrapolated from compared with urban areas. There were no small-scale target-specific studies. differences in vaccination coverage between boys and girls. The study supports other In this study we first used the health and studies that found vaccination coverage demographic surveillance system (HDSS) sites improvement in Burkina Faso recently. in Nouna, Burkina Faso to register information routinely on all inter- In a second step we ventions in childhood, perform a two center such as all vaccinations, randomised intervention micro-nutrient trial in Burkina Faso and supplementation, and in Guinea-Bissau. de-worming, given at health centres or in Providing early measles campaigns. We vaccine at 4.5 and 9 estimated vaccination months of age is coverage using a data currently being compared set of 11 906 children with the recommended aged
Sektion Epidemiologie und Biostatistik 13 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ INDEPTH Training and Research Centres of Excellence (INTREC) Unit members in project team: Heiko Becher, Nicholas Henschke, Heribert Ramroth External Project team members: Osman Sankoh et al., INDEPTH Network, Ghana; Peter Byass, John Kinsmann et al., Umea, Sweden; Joke Haafkens, Amsterdam, The Netherlands; Lisa Berkmann, Anna Mirny, Harvard University, USA, Laksono Trisnantoro, Indonesia, Karen Hofmann, South Africa Funding: EU The WHO's Commission on Social presented to decision makers in an actionable, Determinants of Health (SDH) argued in 2008 policy-relevant manner. that the dramatic differences in health status INTREC activities will cover three African that exist between and within countries are (Ghana, South Africa, Tanzania) and four Asian intimately linked with degrees of social countries (Indonesia, Viet Nam, Bangladesh, disadvantage. These differences are unjust and India) and will be concentrated in two training avoidable, and it is the centres in Ghana and responsibility of govern- Indonesia. The centers are ments, researchers, and to become focal points for civil society to work to research on social reduce them. Part of this determinants of health in work requires the LMICs, thus enabling production of setting- extensive South-South and specific, timely, and North-South networks and relevant evidence on the research cooperation. relationship between social INTREC approach to determinants of health and capacity-building is holistic health outcomes, and yet and includes both, providing this information is limited, state-of-the-art region- especially in low- and specific training for young middle-income countries Abb. 5: Beteiligte Länder bei INTREC researchers, and educating (LMICs). Thus there is a Fig. 5: Countries covered by INTREC decision-makers on social strong need for the determinants of health. The development of capacity- work will be carried by a building activities to enable such research. strong Consortium team of five university- based centres in Sweden, Germany, INTREC has been established with this concern Netherlands, Indonesia and USA and by one in mind and its dual aims include: research network of demographic surveillance • Providing SDH-related training for sites in LMICs with headquarters in Ghana The International Network for the Demographic (INDEPTH). Evaluation of Populations and Their Health researchers (INDEPTH), thereby allowing the INTREC approach will be evaluated at the end production of evidence on associations of a 3.5-year period. Based on the results of between SDH and health outcomes. this evaluation, a conceptual framework on • Enabling the sharing of this how to build sustainable capacity for research information through facilitating links between on health and its social determinants that researchers and decision makers, and could be applied in other LMICs will be byensuring that research findings are developed. Publications: [77]
14 Bericht 2009-2013 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Weitere Studien zu Malaria in Nouna, Burkina Faso Further Studies on Malaria in Nouna, Burkina Faso Project team members in Unit: Heiko Becher, Gisela Kynast-Wolf, Gabriele Stieglbauer Project team members within the institute and the medical faculty: Olaf Müller, Michael Lanzer, Thomas Jänisch, Caroline Geiger, and others External project team members: Ali Sié, Boubacar Coulibaly, CRSN, Nouna, Burkina Faso and others Funding: DFG (GRK 793 and SFB 544) One study (Geiger et al., 2013) within the PhD treated mosquito net (ITN) trial during which program 793 aimed at assessing the dynamics neonates were individually randomized to ITN of parasite prevalence and malaria species protection from birth vs. protection from distribution over time in an area of highly month six onwards in rural Burkina Faso. A sub seasonal transmission in Burkina Faso and to sample of 120 children from three villages was compare frequency of asymptomatic followed for 10 months with six measurements parasitaemia between wet and dry season by of MSP142 antibodies (ELISA based on parasite density status and age group. Cross- recombinant 42 kDa fragment) and daily sectional studies were performed in the rural assessment of malaria episodes. Time to the village Bourasso in the Nouna Health District in next malaria episode was determined in north-west Burkina Faso. In subsequent rainy relation to MSP142 antibody titres. MSP142 and dry seasons blood samples were collected antibody titres were dependent on age, to assess the parasite prevalence, species, season, ITN-group, number of previous malaria density and clinical parameters. In total, 1,767 episodes and parasitaemia. There were no children and adults were examined and significant differences in time until the next compared to a baseline collected in 2000. The malaria episode in children with low compared microscopical parasite prevalence (mainly P. to children with high MSP142 antibody titres at falciparum) measured over the rainy seasons any point in time (101 vs. 97 days in May, p = decreased significantly from 78.9% (2000) to 0.6; 58 vs. 84 days in September, p = 0.3; 58.4%, 55.9% and 49.3%, respectively 144 vs. 161 days in March, p = 0.5). The (2009–2011; p
Sektion Epidemiologie und Biostatistik 15 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ parasites. Our data suggest a selective model that the human host provides various disadvantage of the polymorphic and a microenvironments that favor genetically selective advantage of the wild-type pfcrt distinct P. falciparum populations. haplotype in the placenta, supporting the Publications: [21], [58] 1.2. Weitere infektionsepidemiologische Studien ● Further studies in infectious disease epidemiology Infektionskrankheiten waren das erste Feld der Epidemiology developed from research on Epidemiologie. Ein klassisches Beispiel hierfür infectious diseases. As a classical example the ist die Arbeit von John Snow, der Mitte des 19. work of John Snow is often cited who Jahrhunderts die Übertragungsweise von discovered the mode of transmission of cholera Cholera entdeckte und effektive Interventionen in the 19th century and developed an effective vor der Entdeckung des Vibrio cholerae intervention before the agent Vibrio cholerae entwickelte. was discovered. Auch heute ist die Infektionsepidemiologie ein Infectious disease epidemiology is still an wichtiger Bereich, insbesondere im important field, in particular in collaborative Zusammenhang mit Forschung in research in low- and middle-income countries. Entwicklungsländern. In dieser Sektion wurden In this Unit a number of studies in the field of in Berichtszeitraum eine Reihe von Studien zu infectious diseases have been performed. If Infektionskrankheiten durchgeführt. Soweit es these have been joint projects with the CRSN sich um Projekte gemeinsam mit dem CRSN in in Nouna, Burkina Faso or with the INDEPTH Nouna, Burkina Faso, oder mit dem INDEPTH network, they have already been described in Network handelt, sind diese bereits im vorigen the previous chapter. Kapitel beschrieben. Vergleich von Medikamenten gegen Kopfläuse Comparison of head lice treatment Project team: Heiko Becher, Susanne Sonnberg External Collaborators: Jörg Heukelbach, Fortalezza, Brasil and collaborators Funding: DFG (GRK 793) and Bonusmittel This was a joint project with colleagues in and fed on volunteers to obtain fertile eggs of Fortalezza, Brasil. Head lice are common known age. Two methods of feeding were worldwide, and effective treatment is needed. applied: interval feeding (performed every 8- In this study ovicidal efficacy of three 12 hours), and dimeticone products of different compositions continuous were tested. Against feeding. The mature eggs, NYDA following out- outperformed all other come products (94.9% measures efficacy), with a were used: significant difference to appearance of Jacutin (73.7%; P eye spot; Fig 6a: Pediculus humanus ¼.016) and the other presence of capitis pediculicides. embryonic structures; presence of embryonic movements; Fig. 6:Petrophaga Within the project, an and hatching. Results: Eye spots of the lorioti adaptation of historical embryos started to appear 6 days after methods for rearing head oviposition (median = 7 days), and embryonic lice was done, and their development ex vivo movements were first seen 9 days after was described. Adult head lice were collected
16 Bericht 2009-2013 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ oviposition (median 11 days). Continuous habitat, and hatch rates are high. However, feeding of head lice on a human host is a side effects on volunteers such as skin suitable approach to obtain head lice eggs for irritation (papular rash; moderate to severe ovicidal testing. The method is simple and itching) occur and must be considered. cheap, offers conditions similar to the natural Publications: [27], [36] Tuberkulose in Deutschland Tuberculosis in Germany Project team: Heiko Becher, Judith Barniol Collaborations within the institute and the medical faculty: Thomas Junghanss External Collaborators: Walter Haas, Berlin; Michael Forßbohm, Wiesbaden and others Funding: DFG (GRK 793), DFG (Einzelantrag) and Bonusmittel In one of our studies (Forsbohm et al, 2011) out in a German federal state from 2003 to on Tuberculosis in Germany, we investigated 2005. Data for the study included: 1) case the validity of the statistics on deaths caused data routinely collected by the local public by TB. The study population consists of the health staff and transmitted to the state health 926 fatal cases that were classified either as office and the national surveillance centre, 2) a “death from TB” or as “death due to other study questionnaire designed to capture social causes”. For the analysis, health authorities interactions of relevance for TB transmission were asked to provide additional information and 3) molecular genotyping data. Results: A and such documents as the death certificate, total of 749 cases of culture-positive the autopsy protocol and the final medical pulmonary tuberculosis voluntarily enrolled in report. Based on the findings, every second the study. Forty-seven clusters, defined as at death caused by TB in 1997 and 1998 was not least two cases infected by the same TB recorded correctly during the postmortem strains, were identified by molecular methods examination. Every third TB death was not and included 132 (17%) of the study diagnosed during the patient’s lifetime. participants. Epidemiological links were Patients who died due to TB were, on average, identified for 28% of the clusters by older and more likely to be born in Germany. conventional epidemiological data. In mixed clusters, defined as clusters including German This indicates that age-related comorbidity and foreign-born individuals, the probability of among the native German population plays a cases to be caused by foreign-born cases was relevant role. Yet, the unicausal death estimated at 18.3%. We observed a trend to registration did not acknowledge comorbidity mixed clusters with increasing time spent by as a contributing factor to the fatal outcome. immigrants in the host country. This group also In conclusion, the post-mortem examination presented comparatively higher integration often missed TB as the cause of death. Many indexes than immigrants in immigrant-only native German TB patients showed age-related clusters. comorbidity. Pulmonary TB with positive The study confirmed the findings of other microscopy, miliary TB and meningeal TB led studies that there is no significant TB more often to a fatal outcome than other organ transmission from TB high-prevalence manifestations. Alcohol abuse was a leading immigrant to TB low-prevalence autochthonous risk factor for TB deaths in patients younger population. This may be explained by the good than 65 years. performance of tuberculosis screening programs for certain groups arriving in In another study (Barniol et al., 2009) we Germany from high- prevalence countries, by a described how immigration influences TB low degree of mixing of immigrants with the transmission in Germany. A prospective study local population or by a combination of both. of confirmed culture positive cases of pulmonary TB and their contacts was carried Publications: [13], [32]
Sektion Epidemiologie und Biostatistik 17 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Die Bedeutung antimikrobieller Peptide bei Hautinfektionen The role of antimicrobial peptides in human skin infections Unit member in project team: Sabine Gabrysch External collaborator: Philipp Zanger, Tübingen Funding: Core funding Staphylococcus aureus is the most common peptide RNase 7 was 64% higher in the skin of cause of skin infections. Presentation and control subjects than in the skin of cases, while course of disease vary from minor self-limiting there was no difference in the expression of infections to deep, recurrent abscesses that the antimicrobial peptides HBD-2 and HBD-3. require surgical intervention and systemic Together with the known high baseline antibiotic therapy. A possible explanation for expression of RNase 7, this suggests that this these differences in disease susceptibility and AMP confers protection against skin infection. severity has been provided by recent insights In those travellers with skin infection, we into innate defence mechanisms of human furthermore examined AMP inducibility skin, in particular antimicrobial peptides (AMP). (upregulation) by comparing AMP levels in These are natural antibiotics present in the infected skin to that in healthy skin. Both HBD- skin that are thought to prevent infection in 2 and HBD-3 were strongly upregulated by S. the first place, or that can be upregulated in aureus infection, but not RNase 7. When response to infection and limit the severity of comparing inducibility between patients with disease. different severity of skin infection, we found In the travel clinic of the Institute of Tropical that expression of HBD-3 was 11 times lower Medicine in Tübingen, studies were conducted in patients with more than 6 recurrences and 9 among travellers returning with Staphylo- times lower in patients reporting surgical coccus aureus-positive skin infection (cases) drainage than in the respective baseline and healthy control subjects. groups. There was no difference in HBD-2 inducibility between severity groups. This When examining healthy skin (from the gluteal suggests that high inducibility of HBD-3 can region) from both cases and controls, we could limit the severity of skin infection. show that expression of the antimicrobial Publications: [30], [70] Chronic kidney disease among HIV+ patients in Zambia Unit member in project team: Andreas Deckert Project team at Institute of Public Health: Florian Neuhann, Claudia Beiersmann External collaborators: Helmut Reutter, CHRESO Ministries Zambia, Martin Zeier, Kidney Center Heidelberg; Thomas Bruckner, Institut für Medizinische Biometrie, Heidelberg; Dietrich Rothenbacher, Institut für Epidemiologie und Medizinische Biometrie Ulm Funding: Else Kröner-Fresenius-Stiftung (proposal submitted) This project plans to address the lack of long run end up in severe CKD, whose knowledge regarding diagnosis/categorization treatment needs additional medical devices, of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in HIV+ which are hardly available in SSA. Furthermore patients in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), and chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a major cause regarding prevalence and incidence of CKD, of morbidity and mortality particularly in low- what will make the need of action visible to income countries. The degree and burden of health policy. HIV prevalence in Zambia, SSA, HIV+ related nephropathy in Zambia is widely is known to be high at about 14%. It unknown, single studies report about up to constitutes a top public health problem and is 34% CKD prevalence among HIV-patients in known to be jointly responsible for hampering Zambia. Measurement and definition of renal development of the society. Among others, HIV function is challenging and can be estimated infection can cause nephropathy and in the indirectly only in SSA by assessing the
18 Bericht 2009-2013 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ glomerular filtration rate (GFR), based on should be used to estimate the CKD prevalence serum creatinine. In the region of Lusaka, among HIV+ patients, to identify CKD Zambia, a humanitarian project was favouring anti-retroviral treatment, and to established to provide anti-retroviral treatment establish a CKD preventive HIV treatment to HIV+ patients. Within this project, routine scheme in the long run. In the prospective part laboratory time-series data of some thousand we plan to establish a HIV- control group and patients exist, starting in 2005. This data to include additional CKD risk factors. 1.3. Krebsepidemiologie ● Cancer epidemiology Krebsepidemiologie hat sich seit dem Nachweis Cancer epidemiology developed very rapidly des Zusammenhangs zwischen Rauchen und since the 1950s when the link between Lungenkrebs in den fünfziger Jahren des smoking and lung cancer was discovered. 20. Jahrhunderts rasant entwickelt. Studien Studies were mainly performed in western fanden in der überwiegenden Mehrzahl in countries, where cancer is one of the major Industrieländern statt, in denen Krebs eine der causes of death. Studies in developing Haupttodesursachen ist. In letzter Zeit werden countries, however, are becoming more and auch zunehmend krebsepidemiologische more common, mainly because of the overall Studien in Entwicklungsländern durchgeführt, increasing life expectancy and a related bedingt durch eine insgesamt steigende increasing cancer incidence. In this Unit we Lebenserwartung und einer damit verbundenen perform a number of cancer studies, which in ansteigenden Krebsinzidenz. In dieser Sektion part originated as long term projects from the werden bzw. wurden eine Reihe von Studien former position of the unit head at the German aus dem Bereich der Krebsepidemiologie Cancer Research Center. durchgeführt. Rauchen und Lungenkrebs in Afrika Smoking and lung cancer in Africa Project team: Volker Winkler, Heiko Becher External collaborators: Jördis Jennifer Ott, Melanie Cowan, WHO, Geneva; Funding: GKR 793, SFB 544 and core funding In general data on smoking prevalence is year. Tobacco is the major cause of cancer and scarce for African countries, but an important risk factor for several other there are several studies for chronic diseases. Due to the different countries available that epidemiological transition in show an alarming trend: Male developing countries smoking prevalence in African (increasing life expectancy) varies from about 20% up to there is an increasing over 65% depending on age and relevance of chronic diseases country. to the total burden of diseases. Traditionally, smokers are mostly males. The proportion of women We developed a method to smokers is very low, but is estimate the number of lung already rising in a few African cancer cases caused by countries. According to the WHO, smoking in Africa using lung in 1999, Africa smoked 4% of cancer mortality data from World cigarette consumption and Abb. 7:Lungenkrebsraten (Männer) industrialized countries only the UN's Food and Agricultural in Afrika in combination with smoking Organisation (FAO) state Fig. 7: lung cancer mortality rate prevalence data in Africa. The cigarette smoking in Africa is (males) in Africa results showed, that the growing by a record 3.5% a (Becher & Winkler, 2010) previous estimates were too
Sektion Epidemiologie und Biostatistik 19 ___________________________________________________________________________________________ high but on the other hand up to 50000 lung We were able to show that the estimates by cancer deaths per year occur in Africa, most of IARC/WHO, which are based extrapolations them caused by smoking. This number will from local cancer registries in a few African increase due to the demographic transistion. countries are not reliable and strongly underestimate the real burden of the disease. We applied the model to data from countries Even under the assumption of decrease in where data on lung cancer mortality are smoking prevalence, we showed lung cancer sufficiently reliable, and found that our model mortality will rise. The epidemiologic transition predicts total burden of lung cancer very well. in African low-income countries alludes to the need for targeted health prevention efforts. Publications: [28], [29], [31], [44], [82] Studien zur Äthiologie und Prognose des Kehlkopfkrebs Studies on etiology and prognosis of laryngeal cancer Project team: Heribert Ramroth, Irene Santi, Heiko Becher External collaborators: Odilia Popanda, Angela Risch, Peter Schmezer, DKFZ Heidelberg Andreas Dietz, Leipzig; Wolfgang Ahrens, BIPS Bremen; and others Funding: Dietmar Hopp foundation The Rhein-Neckar-Larynx Study is a exposures might explain a part of the population-based case-control study 1:3 remaining but the components and pathways frequency matched by age and sex on of the socioeconomic contribution have yet to laryngeal cancer in South-West Germany with be fully disentangled. One aim of this analysis 257 cases, histologically confirmed and is to evaluate the role of occupation using diagnosed between 1.5.1998 and different occupational 31.12.2000 and 769 population indices, differentiating controls. Information about Darmstadt between physical, occupational exposures, lifestyle psycho-social and toxic factors and socio demographic exposures and trying to background were obtained with summarize the face-to-face interviews using a occupational burden into detailed standardized Mannheim one variable. questionnaire. This case-control A second of these study allowed numerous analyses Ludwigshf. Heidelberg analyses is to measure and publication, some of which the extent to which the published in this reporting period. association between Heilbronn socioeconomic status and Based on the data from the case laryngeal cancer is control study, new analyses have mediated by smoking, been done to better understand Abb. 8: Studienregion der Rhein- alcohol consumption and the influence of occupation as risk Neckar-Larynx Studie occupational exposure. factor for laryngeal cancer. Fig.8: Study region of the Rhein- For this, a decomposition Previous studies tried to assess the Neckar-Larynx Studie method for logit models association between socioeconomic proposed by Karlson, Holm and Breen was status and laryngeal cancer. Alcohol and used to return the percentage of change in tobacco consumption explain already a large odds ratios due to confounding. part of the social inequalities. Occupational Publications: [107], [108] The cases of the study have been laryngeal cancer patients, involving a variety of supplemented by more than 500 further cases interacting factors. Five-year overall survival of from the years 2001 to 2004 to generate a all Europeans diagnosed with laryngeal cancer patient cohort which has been followed up until between 1995 and 1999 was 55%, slightly June 2011. This was done to better analyse worse than survival rates for the German those factors which influence survival of population (59%). Despite the knowledge that
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